Just two weeks from now, the Brexit process should have been done and dusted.
The British voters’ wishes should have been granted.
And the UK would be moving ahead, independent of infringing European Union rules.
But 29 March, the deadline for completing the UK’s divorce from the EU, will come and go with no action taken at all. Lots of talking, sure. But zero results.
Another vote, another rejection
In the latest blow, British MPs rejected yet another proposed scenario to end the EU by the end of the month.
As RAW reports, the votes counted a 321 to 278 split in favour of ruling out a no-deal Brexit under any circumstances.
While the motion technically has no legal force behind it, the political force it is laid with shows a notable rebellion of much of British Prime Minister Theresa May’s own conservative party.
The government’s planned motion was that a no-deal Brexit would be avoided unless it impacted the 29 March deadline, which it is. But without support from her fellow MPs, May is no longer in a position to implement a no-deal Brexit for the sake of punctuality.
What options are left?
The only scenarios in which the UK can leave the EU two weeks from now is if parliament decide to change their minds about May’s divorce deal and pass it at the last minute, or an accidental no-deal Brexit occurs — whatever that means.
Otherwise, the only other paths to take are requesting a delay or putting the vote back on the people through another referendum.
If they choose to seek a delay, it will need the approval from the other 27 members of the bloc.
EU Brexit negotiator Michael Barnier says that this will require Britain explaining to the bloc their reasons for needing an extension, and that it would still be up to London to figure out their way forward.
Keep in mind the EU have taken divorce negotiations off the table.
Also, the EU would rather only a short extension, as the EU-wide parliamentary elections are scheduled for the end of May, and they’d like the UK to have no means of engagement in these affairs.
It’s no doubt a messy situation that’s hard to solve, with even expert analysts being unable to figure it out. Investment bank Goldman Sachs claim they ‘continue to see a 55 per cent chance that a close variant of the prime minister’s Brexit deal is eventually ratified, after a three-month extension of Article 50’.
So they are just over half sure that two of the four options will be taken.
Not great odds, we say.
Free report: Australia’s right to free speech is under attack! Discover how a select group of Australians want to stifle your fundamental right to speak your mind — and what you can do help turn the tide.