We’ve said it many times before, here at The Australian Tribune we don’t believe that Brexit will eventuate.
Since the 2016 referendum that saw Brits vote to leave the EU, the ‘stayers’ have done everything they can to go against the democratic vote to leave. And now it looks like the UK will head to their leave date without a deal…
Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit divorce deal did not survive the Commons vote, with British MPs voting against the deal by a significant margin.
Now, the UK has no idea what the next move is.
One of the worst losses in British history
The deal resulted in an overwhelming political upset, losing in a staggering 432–202 voting margin. That’s a two-year strategy to leave the EU amicably gone right out the window.
And it’s the first British parliamentary defeat of a treaty since 1864.
But we shouldn’t be surprised. After all, this very vote was postponed four weeks because May knew she’d have no hope if the vote had gone ahead in December.
With just over two months until the 29 March due date for the UK to leave the EU — which they’ve been a part of since 1973 — this loss is looking to shape one of the deepest political crises in the past 50 years, according to RAW.
Following the upset Jeremy Corbyn, the opposition Labour leader, called a no confidence vote in May’s government to be held in the next 24 hours. The last of this kind saw May secure a much smaller victory than this ‘no deal on the deal’ consensus.
But it seems as though even May herself isn’t confident in the next move forward. As she told parliament just moments after the deal was voted down:
‘It is clear that the House does not support this deal, but tonight’s vote tells us nothing about what it does support.
‘… nothing about how – or even if – it intends to honour the decision the British people took in a referendum parliament decided to hold.’
May has a very valid point. Over 100 of May’s own Conservative team — both EU supporters and Brexiteers alike — put a down vote on the deal. So even the downvoters aren’t united in how to proceed.
And so, the debate continues.
May struggles to find a clear road forward
May’s spokesman has said that the rejected divorce deal could still be used as the basis of a different EU withdrawal plan.
But it seems MPs are hell-bent on finding a better option.
Conservative pro-Brexit former minister, David Jones said:
‘The EU will see that it must now offer better terms to the UK. If it does not, we must leave to trade on WTO terms.’
Other pro-Brexit conservatives, as well as the Northern Irish DUP party, were adamant in their refusal of May’s Brexit deal. However, both have ensured they will back May in the upcoming no-confidence vote.
This is a rather conflicting means of sentiment. Having faith in May’s abilities to resolve this ongoing issue, but refusing to support her one and only solution.
Adding to this wave of disappointment is the EU’s comment that May’s deal was the best and only way to ensure a clean and orderly exit. So brace yourselves for the zero-tolerance negotiation from the Union in the upcoming weeks.
In fact, Austrian Chancellor Sebastian Kurz said as much, with EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker saying serious preparations for a no-deal Brexit would soon commence.
RAW also reports Donald Tusk, the chairman of EU leaders, suggested that Britain should now consider reversing Brexit, tweeting:
‘If a deal is impossible, and no one wants no deal, then who will finally have the courage to say what the only positive solution is?’
Such a troubling, yet accurate summation of reality.
And while there isn’t a clear next step right now, whatever path they do take is sure to shake the future of the world’s fifth largest economy.
Stay tuned to see whether 29 March 2019 will in fact be recorded as a life-changing date for the UK.
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